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VCs Say IPO Pipeline Looks Robust And These Companies Could Still Go Public in 2020

The COVID-19 pandemic coupled with a fractious U.S. presidential election made 2020 a year of uncertainty鈥攁n environment equity markets generally don鈥檛 like.听

But now with the presidential election decided in favor of Democrat , one big question that鈥檚 hung in the air all year has been answered. Positive news on Monday from further buoyed investor hopes for an economic recovery next year.

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Renewed certainty about the U.S.鈥 political future and the prospect of getting a handle on the coronavirus pandemic in 2021 means we鈥檒l likely see a robust lineup of venture-backed companies going public in the final two months of this year and into early next, according to analysts and venture capitalists who spoke with 附近上门 News on Monday.听

is going to be the capstone of 2020,鈥 said Matt Kennedy, a senior strategist at IPO research firm . 鈥淲e do expect also to file, probably as well. You never really know unless the company leaks it that they’re going to file, but we do have a list of potential companies that would, and with the positive vaccine (news), everything鈥檚 on the table.鈥

Among the other companies that could go public before year-end, according to Kennedy: and (which have both already filed confidential registration statements to go public), along with , and . Chinese companies could also tap into the U.S. equity markets, Kennedy said.

The IPO market has been busy this year, despite the COVID-19 pandemic. Not counting biotech companies, more than 19-venture backed technology companies have gone public already this year, mostly in the second half of 2020.

, a partner at , said he thinks the first quarter of 2021 could set a record for tech IPOs, if markets hold.听

鈥淚f your company is ready, of the size to go public and you have the systems in place and all that…I think many boards will look at that as a very attractive financing option,鈥 he said.

, co-founder and managing director of , also pointed to early 2021 likely being a robust market for IPOs. And November and December have historically been a 鈥渘o fly zone鈥 for IPOs, but it could be different this year because of the positive vaccine news, he said.

Smerklo believes early 2021 will see a lot of activity because of the low interest rate environment, businesses benefiting from digital transformation and a pipeline of strong venture-backed businesses that have been built over the last decade.

鈥淭hey鈥檙e mature, they鈥檙e sizable, they鈥檝e got scale, they鈥檝e raised a lot of capital over the past decade and they鈥檙e ready to make that move,鈥 Smerklo said.

While the first week of November was slower for IPOs than usual for a presidential election year, Kennedy expects there to be a small uptick in mid-November, then a quieter period around Thanksgiving, followed by more activity in the three weeks following Thanksgiving.

鈥淣ormally there is a slight decrease in activity around the election. This year it鈥檚 definitely been more pronounced,鈥 he said. 鈥淭his year we鈥檝e had an historically record-breaking October, September and August.鈥

Earlier this year, many companies postponed their spring IPOs as the pandemic ushered in sudden economic uncertainty. Then, a spate of companies rushed to go public before the election and to take advantage of a suddenly hot market, according to Kennedy.听

Among the high-profile companies that have gone public already this year are , , and .听

Kennedy expects there to be an 鈥渁mple number鈥 of companies going public in December. It鈥檚 not unusual to see large companies like Airbnb go public at the end of the year, he said, and this year we鈥檒l likely have 鈥渕ore than we would usually see in December based on how well the index has been performing this year.鈥

鈥淰olatility is low and valuations are high,鈥 he said, 鈥渟o if you can go public if an IPO is in your plans, then there鈥檚 no point in waiting for a better time.鈥

Another reason Kennedy pointed to as contributing to a likely robust end of the year for IPOs: news that early data shows that Pfizer鈥檚 in-development COVID-19 vaccine is more than 90 percent effective. The Pfizer news opens up the possibilities of what kinds of companies can go public, according to Kennedy.听

Software companies and companies that support remote work, virtual gatherings and the like have seen more demand this year, making market conditions favorable for their IPOs. But companies in sectors like travel and hospitality have been hit hard by the pandemic, so a vaccine could improve their chances of having a successful IPO.

That sentiment was echoed by , managing partner at .听

鈥淚 definitely think (the vaccine news) opens up the IPO pipelines to a broader set of companies and I think it lessens the chance that people will pull their IPO and push back the timeline,鈥 Flager said, adding that the news added some stability to the financial markets.

Both private and public funding markets have the 鈥減otential to explode鈥 next year, according to Smerklo of Next Coast Ventures, given what an uncertain year 2020 has been.

鈥淚 think there鈥檚 a lot of capital on the market, on the sidelines both public and private,鈥 he said. 鈥淎nd I think between COVID and the election, there鈥檚 been a lot of capital that has been cautious.鈥

Companies expected to go public in late 2020 or early 2021:

  • (expected to file S-1 this week)
  • (possible)
  • (possible)

Venture-backed tech (and tech-adjacent) companies that have gone public in 2020:

 

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